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INSIGHT · APAC

Bank of Japan rate-hike expectations narrow: two hikes expected in 2026

Market consensus now prices two BOJ rate increases in 2026, with first expected as soon as next week. Japan's policy tightening cycle is narrowing, signaling weaker-than-expected inflation or growth.

WHY IT MATTERS

BOJ tightening signals Japan won't be haven for cheap capital; BFSI with JPY funding hedges should prepare for yen strength and rising swap costs.

Source: Bloomberg · 2026-06-09

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Bank of Japan rate-hike expectations narrow: two hikes expected in 2026 — ath